Tonight's odds in Ushuaia are low: solar activity is forecast strong enough (Kp 5.7) for the aurora to reach Ushuaia, and the sky outlook is overcast.
Right now, the planet-wide aurora activity is Kp 2.3 (latest NOAA observed reading). What's Kp?
Best time to see the aurora in Ushuaia
The aurora is a planning trip, not a same-day dash. The best months in Ushuaia are June, July, May — long, dark nights plus the equinox activity boost, when the odds are genuinely worth booking around. Tonight is one data point; the next 7 nights below show how the window is trending.
Aurora forecast for Ushuaia — the next 3 nights
| Night | Peak Kp | Cloud | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 6 PM | Kp 5.7 ✓ | 89% · overcast | 12 Low |
| Sun 6 PM | Kp 3.7 | 96% · overcast | 5 Low |
| Mon 6 PM | Kp 2.7 | 88% · overcast | 0 Low |
A ✓ means the forecast Kp clears Ushuaia's Kp 5 visibility threshold — but clear skies still decide the night.
Cloud outlook & dark hours
Cloud cover is the dealbreaker: a strong aurora under an overcast sky is a no-show. Tonight's dark-hours window in Ushuaia looks overcast (about 89% cloud on average). The aurora is best viewed away from town lights with a clear view toward the south.
Head out of town along the coast or up toward the Martial Glacier; you want a clear southern horizon over the Beagle Channel. Patience and a strong-storm alert are essential this far from the oval.
Northern lights tours & stays in Ushuaia
Aurora tours from Ushuaia typically run $70–$260 per person. A guided "chase" that drives to the clearest sky is often worth it when the local forecast is cloudy.
Northern lights tours from Ushuaia
Viator · guided tours · from $70
Aurora chases & photo tours in Ushuaia
GetYourGuide · guided tours · from $70
Cabins, lodges & glass igloos near Ushuaia
Booking.com · lodging