AuroraCast / Australia / Hobart

Will you see the southern lights (aurora australis) in Hobart tonight?

Hobart, Australia — tonight's odds, the next 7 nights, and the best months to go, with tours to book. Most people plan an aurora trip days to months ahead; we give you both the tonight read and the planning view. Odds combine the live NOAA Kp forecast, the cloud outlook, and the dark-hours window.

42/100
Fair
OVATION oval now0%overhead probability

Tonight's odds in Hobart are fair: solar activity looks quiet tonight (Kp 5.7, below Hobart's usual Kp 6 threshold), and the sky outlook is clear skies.

Kp 5.7forecast peak tonight
Kp 6needed to see it here
18%clear skies
~3 hdark-hours window

Right now, the planet-wide aurora activity is Kp 2.3 (latest NOAA observed reading). What's Kp?

Best time to see the aurora in Hobart

The aurora is a planning trip, not a same-day dash. The best months in Hobart are June, July, May — long, dark nights plus the equinox activity boost, when the odds are genuinely worth booking around. Tonight is one data point; the next 7 nights below show how the window is trending.

Find Hobart aurora tours → Month-by-month guide for Hobart →

Aurora forecast for Hobart — the next 3 nights

Sun 7 AM Kp 5.7
Sun 7 PM Kp 2.7
Mon 7 PM Kp 3
NightPeak KpCloudOdds
Sun 7 AM Kp 5.7 18% · clear skies 42 Fair
Sun 7 PM Kp 2.7 24% · partly cloudy 0 Low
Mon 7 PM Kp 3 90% · overcast 0 Low

A ✓ means the forecast Kp clears Hobart's Kp 6 visibility threshold — but clear skies still decide the night.

Cloud outlook & dark hours

Cloud cover is the dealbreaker: a strong aurora under an overcast sky is a no-show. Tonight's dark-hours window in Hobart looks clear skies (about 18% cloud on average). The aurora is best viewed away from town lights with a clear view toward the south.

You need an unobstructed southern horizon over water: Cockle Creek, South Arm, or the kunanyi/Mt Wellington summit. Watch for Kp 6+ storm alerts.

Northern lights tours & stays in Hobart

Tour links below go to live search results. We're finalizing affiliate partnerships — once active we'll earn a commission on bookings at no extra cost to you. Disclosure.

Aurora tours from Hobart typically run $70–$240 per person. A guided "chase" that drives to the clearest sky is often worth it when the local forecast is cloudy.

Northern lights tours from Hobart

Viator · guided tours · from $70

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Aurora chases & photo tours in Hobart

GetYourGuide · guided tours · from $70

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Cabins, lodges & glass igloos near Hobart

Booking.com · lodging

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These are probabilistic viewing odds, not a guarantee. We build them from public NOAA space-weather forecasts (planetary Kp + the OVATION oval model) and Open-Meteo cloud forecasts — both can change fast, and clear skies and solar activity are inherently uncertain. The aurora is a natural phenomenon; some clear, active nights still disappoint, and some quiet nights surprise. How we compute the score.